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Side effects of interest rate cuts
9-19-07

Interest rate cuts by Bernanke may spur inflation, cause both the U.S. dollar and the bond market to collapse and push the U.S. economy into recession.  The cause of the recent housing, sub-prime and credit problems are due to artificially low interest rates, which results in too much money in the market.

 

Oil price may decline from lower demand growth
9-15-07

The demand growth rates of oil has been declining since 2004, including a recent significant slowdown in U.S. oil-demand growth.  The rate of decline is similar to what happened in the 70's-80's cycle, the oil price skyrocketed and then fell sharply.  If the trend repeats again, then the price may lose more than 50% of the current price and, if so, it is better to reduce the oil related stocks.

 

Interest rates to fall in 2007
10-23-06

It appears the Fed is done with raising the interest rates as the inflation worry is subsiding and the Fed's past continuous interest rate hikes have a positive effective on tightening the money supplies.  It is known that the inflation is only caused by the over-flowing of money supplies.  With inflation leveling off and the domestic economy moving towards to a lower level of growth rate (about 2% real rate), the Fed at some point in 2007 will be forced to cut the interest rates to re-stimulate the U.S. economy.


Start your new business with your 401(k) money
1-5-05

Normally, if you take an early distribution (before age 59 1/2) for your new business, you have to pay income taxes (federal and state) and a 10% penalty of early distribution,  However, if you use the pension transfer trust, there are no income taxes or penalties.  The following table shows the difference between a regular early distribution and setting up a pension transfer trust when you take out money for your new business:

Regular early
distribution
Setting up a pension
transfer trust
Amount in retirement fund: $100,000 $100,000
Ordinary income taxes (at 30%) $30,000 0
Early distribution penalty (10%) $10,000 0
State income taxes $5,000 0
Total taxes & penalties $45,000 0
Cost of setting up transfer trust $6,500
NET CASH available: $55,000 vs. $93,500

You can clearly see the benefit of setting up a pension transfer trust by saving to invest more money in to your new business.  With the pension transfer trust, you can convert existing retirement funds to hold the stock of your new business.  Under the tax deferred 501(a) trust, your new company can sell its own stock to the pension transfer trust.  Contact us for additional information.

 


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